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How The Energy Policy Simulators Work And Are Developed
By Robbie Orvis
The self-ruling and open-source Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) computer model ripened by Energy Innovation Policy & Technology LLCTM has wilt one of the most widely used tools to inform policymakers and regulators well-nigh which climate and energy policies will reduce greenhouse gas emissions most effectively, creating the largest economic and public health benefits.
With EPS models now used in 10 countries and 48 states wideness America, we’re often asked how the EPS works and what peer review it has undergone through its development.
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The EPS allows users to model numerous policies that stupefy energy use and emissions including a renewable portfolio standard, fuel economy standards for vehicles, industry methane standards, incentives for wipe energy technologies like we see in the Inflation Reduction Act, and velocious R&D urging of various technologies. These policies can be unromantic wideness every major sector of the economy including transportation, electricity supply, buildings, industry, agriculture, and land use. The EPS moreover includes smaller components like hydrogen supply, district heat, waste management, and geoengineering.
The model reports outputs at yearly intervals and provides numerous outputs, including:
- Emissions of 12 variegated pollutants including stat dioxide, nitrogen oxides, sulfur oxides, and fine particulate matter, as well as stat dioxide equivalent (CO2e) which measures the global warming potential of various pollutants.
- Direct mazuma spritz (cost or savings) impacts on government, non-energy industries, labor and consumers, and five energy-supplying industries.
- Direct, indirect, and induced impacts on jobs, GDP, and employee compensation, as a whole or disaggregated into 36 economic categories.
- Premature mortality and 10 other health-related outcomes avoided from reduced primary and secondary particulate pollution.
- The sonnet and output of the electricity sector (e.g., topics and generation from coal, natural gas, wind, solar, etc.).
- Vehicle technology market shares and squadron sonnet including electric vehicles.
- Energy use by fuel type from various energy-using technologies including specific types of vehicles and towers components.
- Breakdowns of how each policy within a policy package contributes to total vitiation and the cost-effectiveness of each policy (e.g., wedge diagrams and forfeit curves).
- Fuel imports and exports, and associated expenditures or revenues.
All methodologies underpinning the EPS have undergone wide-stretching peer review as they were developed, and we continually seek input from outside experts to modify the methodologies to write any concerns that are raised. Components of the model have been reviewed by individuals from prestigious institutions including:
- American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy
- Argonne National Laboratory
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory
- RMI
- Stanford University
- Tufts University
- University of Chicago
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
- World Resources Institute
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National labs, universities, and partners who have peer reviewed the Energy Policy Simulator
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